The Fitch ratings agency confirmed Italy’s long-term rating at Bbb+, with a stable outlook. The agency highlights the country’s “large, increasingly diversified and high value-added” economy, along with “relatively robust” governance indicators.
“Prudent management”
Among the positive factors, Fitch notes Italy’s strong commitment to complying with European Union fiscal rules and pursuing prudent management of public finances. The agency forecasts “essentially unchanged” deficits starting in 2026, along with a 0.3 percentage point increase in the primary balance.
Decline in debt/GDP from 2027
On the other hand, Fitch highlights that Italy’s rating is held back by a “very high” public debt and a “limited” medium-term growth potential. According to the agency’s forecasts, the debt-to-GDP ratio will reach a peak of 138.2% in 2026, and then gradually decline starting in 2027.