The Tycoon got the 51% of the votes, exceeding, even if by a whisker, the psychological threshold of 50%. With just a couple of percentage points less the effect would have been different, it would have meant that more than half of the voters would have voted against him. Instead Trump imposes himself on the second place with well 30 points ahead.
And it is precisely the result of the second candidate that all observers were waiting for, because it will be he (or she) who will be the spokesperson for the 50% of Republicans who no longer want to see Trump in the White House again. Here was the surprise. Polls had Nikki Haley 3 or 4 percentage points above DeSantis, however the situation was reversed. DeSantis beats Haley by 2 percentage points, that’s about 2,500 votes, but psychological thresholds are everything in this election. This proves that DeSantis isn’t in such bad shapeas many pollsters and journalists have reported, and that neither of them, given the small difference in votes, will give up easily.
Republican strategist Ryan Rhodes claims that without a second place that exceeds 30% there is no match, and that Trump already has the nomination in his pocket, but these are still too early analyses. It’s expected in the next few weeks a fight to the last vote for second place, while we will also try to fight the common enemy, sort of Squid Game which Trump will attend with popcorn, and since he lacks everything except cynicism it is certain that he will use the weaknesses of both to increase the conflict and prevent one of the two from really emerging.
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