Germany, live projections
The projections of the German public broadcaster Ard: S
- CDU/CSU: 28.6%
- AFD: 20.4%
- SPD: 16.3%
- Green: 12.3%
- Die Linke: 8.5%
- FDP: 4.9%
- BSW: 4.7%
Fdp and BSW would therefore be below the barrier.
The projections of the German public broadcaster ZDF:
- CDU/CSU: 28.5%
- AFD: 20.1%
- SPD: 16.3%
- Green: 12.4%
- Die Linke: 8.7%
- FDP: 5%
- BSW: 4.9%
Germany, Exit Polls
Here are the exit polls of the parties (and related chancellor candidates) just published on the vote in Germany. In brackets the variation compared to the last election.
Here is the first exit poll second ZDF:
- CDU/CSU (Friedrich Merz): 28.5% (+4.4%)
- AFD (Alice Wiedel): 20% (+9.6%)
- SPD (Olaf Scholz): 16.5% (-9.2%)
- Grünen (Robert Habeck): 12% (-2.7%)
- Die Linke (Jan Van Aken and Heidi Reichinnek): 9% (+4.1%)
- FDP (Christian Lindner): 5%
- BSW (Sarah Wagenknecht): 5% (+5%)
Here is the second exit poll according to Ard:
- CDU/CSU (Friedrich Merz): 29% (+4.9%)
- AFD (Alice Wiedel): 19.5% (+9.1%)
- SPD (Olaf Scholz): 16% (-9.7%)
- Grünen (Robert Habeck): 13.5% (-1.2%)
- Die Linke (Jan Van Aken and Heidi Reichinnek): 8.5% (+3.6%)
- FDP (Christian Lindner): 4.9% (-6.5%)
- BSW (Sarah Wagenknecht): 4.7% (+4.7%)
The barrier threshold to enter Parliament is set to 5%.
The leadership of the CDU/CSU party hoped for a result of more than 30%. But even in these circumstances it is likely that Friedrich Merz claims the right to form a government.
How many seats and who?
According to a calculation of the ARD TVhere is the possible disturbance of the seats.
- CDU-CSU:
- SPD: 116 seats
- AFD: 142 seats
- Green: 98
- Die Linke: 62.
No seat, at the moment, assigned by Ard to the Liberals of the FDP and the BSW Rossobruni, who according to Ard’s exit polls would not have 5% of the votes necessary to enter the Bundestag.
(Other exit polls, on the other hand, still give them in the running. So the count of the seats is to be taken with the pliers).
According to the exit polls of the ZDF, however, the results would be different:
- SPD: 107 seats
- CDU/CSU: 188 seats
- Green: 81 seats
- FDP: 33 seats
- AFD: 130 seats
- Die Linke: 58 seats
- BSW: 33 seats
Which government possible?
The only certainty seems to be the unavailability of the main parties ad Allying with the AFD.
Neither Scholz neither Merz They left the door open to the far right, although in recent weeks there have been controversy for a resolution on migrants who had also obtained the support of the AFD.
Here are the possibilities:
Trump exults
“It seems that the conservative party in Germany he won great. As in the USA, the Germans are also tired of politics without common sense, especially on energy and immigration, which has prevailed for many years. This is a great day for the Germany And for the United States under the leadership of a gentleman called Donald Trump. Congratulations to everyone, many other victories will follow, “said the President of the United States.
Merz: “Now a quick government”
“The main thing is to create a stable government as quickly as possible. The world outside is not waiting for us. Now we have to be able to act quickly, “Friedrich Merz said this celebrating the victory of the CDU/CSU.
The SPD licks the wounds
“For the SPD it was a historical defeat, it is a bitter evening for us. The traffic light coalition has been rejected, “said Matthias Mieersch, secretary general SPD, who does not unbalance the possibility of being part of a government with the CDU.
“Tonight is a bitter defeat. We have to say it clearly and I take responsibility for it, “said the outgoing chancellor Olaf Scholz. “Now we have to go on together.”
Alice Wiedel rejoices
“Ours is a historical result: we have doubled our votes. We are ready to take responsibility for the country, “he said Alice Wiedelco-founder and chancellor candidate for the AFD. And again: “We have never been so strong at national level. Our hand will always be tense to participate in a government and translate the will of the people into practice “. The goal: close the borders and lower taxes. “We need a political change, our hand is tense, you just have to grab it.”
CDU claims the victory
“The data speak clearly. The union won. The traffic light has been liquidated. And the voters want the chancellor to be Friedrich Merz. ” These are the words of the CDU secretary general, Carsten Linnemann.
The turnout at 2 pm
At 2.00 pm The turnout was 52%according to what was communicated by the offices of the Bundeswahlleterin Ruth Brand. However, votes by mail are not included.
What did the latest polls say
The latest surveys available took the lead Cdu-csu by Friedrich Merz with 29.5%. Immediately behind theAFD 21 %. Then theSPD of the Chancellor Olaf Scholz at 15%, followed by Green and from the left of Die Linke12.5% and 7.5% respectively. THE’Sahra Wagenknecht alliance (BSW) stopped at 5%. Just below theFDP estimated at 4.5%.