The Democrats are picking up their pace. According to the latest polls, 48 hours before the US mid-term elections, their advantage over the Republicans for the conquest of the House and Senate rises to seven points: 52% of voters would like them to lead Congress, against 45% who would prefer the Republicans. And the reaction of American President Trump was not long in coming. “If they win, I will be Mr. Veto”, he threatens during the last rally, hinting at belligerent intentions in the event of defeat.
The weight of the midterm elections
The mid-term vote represents an important step for the second part of Trump’s presidency: a possible change of majority in one or both houses of Congress could affect the White House’s legislative agenda and the president’s ability to carry out his program.
The increase in the cost of living and the continuation of the war against Iran, which began eight months ago despite Trump’s electoral promise to put an end to military campaigns abroad, also weigh on the vote. According to an NBC News poll released Sunday, 60% of Americans disapprove of the president’s actions.
Trump as “Mr. Veto”
After the Halloween party of caviar and champagne at Mar-a-Lago, the president flew to Iowa and Kansas for the last rallies in view of the vote tomorrow, November 3. From Trump an appeal to participate in the vote. The midterm elections have turned into a referendum on his actions. “They are the most important in American history,” he repeats.
Trump has made it clear that he will become “Mr. Veto” if he loses his majority in Congress. There The United States Constitution gives the president the veto power, meaning it can block a bill approved by Congress. The tycoon would bet everything on institutional obstructionism to block democratic initiative laws. “At some point, we will probably make some agreements. They will come to me to find an agreement,” he explained.
The scenarios
The memory of January 6, 2021 is still alive and the fear is that the unpredictable president could respond violently. According to rumors, in the event of a heavy defeat he could decide to attack Iran as early as the day after the midterms to divert attention. Another hypothesis is that it attempts to block the certification of the vote by the states, invoking electoral fraud and foreign interference and effectively opening a possible unprecedented constitutional crisis.