Guys, let’s say the truth: of the Asteroid 2024 YR4 can no longer be. Brief summary for those who had not followed the astro-toothbody: in December 2024 there was a probability of impact with the land on 769 (0.13%) for December 22, 2032. In January the chances of impact increased by 1.3%. On February 18, new announcement, very alarmed, very alarmistic: further observations increased the probability of 3.1%, the highest value recorded for an asteroid of this size, between 53 and 67 meters (travels to 50400 kilometers per hour), and was already expected where it would have fallen, China, Indian Ocean, Africa.
The impact would have been local, but with the effects of a powerful atomic bomb. In short, up and down it had not even been a stock -stock title, it had not even been a bitcoin. However, on February 19 the probability dropped to 1.5%, on February 23 practically zero, to be exact at 0,0001%. Finished here?
Macché. Now we read titles such as “the moon is at risk”. Yes, because in the meantime we have risen from 3.1% of the chances of hitting the moon at 3.8%. NASA specifies: “But let’s not forget that there are 96.2 possibilities out of 100 that is missing our natural satellite”. Come on, now we are calm.
Above all, they should explain to us that risk is on the moon: there are no spatial bases, there is no one, in case it will make a big catre on a satellite that is all a crater, in fact talking about it has become a crater of boredom. At least let’s organize a turn of bets above, quotiam it on the bag.