Until a few hours ago, the ayatollah regime had always limited itself to waging a “proxy war”, arming Hamas and Hezbollah against Israel. Hitting the Pasdaran in Damascus, Jerusalem instead forced the sworn enemy to throw away his mask and definitively come out into the open. Faced with the Israeli raid on Damascus, the ayatollahs found themselves, despite themselves, faced with a very complicated dilemma: not to react, transmitting an image of weakness in the eyes of the whole world, or to move from threats to facts and react forcefully. Even at the cost of shooting yourself in the foot. And this is exactly what happened.
Tehran, closed in a dead end by Israel's cunning move, was unable to resist the temptation to take direct war action against the hated Jewish state, and now it will find itself having to deal with Americans and, probably , Saudis, as well as with the Israelis themselves. The USAafter the Iranian attack, in fact, they will not be able to avoid defending Israel and take a markedly more belligerent position towards the Islamic Republic, thus abandoning the so-called policy of appeasement.
The Saudis, for their part, irritated by Tehran's decision to go on the attack, could drastically interrupt the détente process started with Iran and get closer to Israel again under the careful direction of the United States. The result would be an inevitable isolation of the ayatollahs' regime on the international political scene. All that remains to be understood is how Russia will react after Iran's military action. Moscow, in the hours preceding the attack, had called for “moderation”, and now it will in turn find itself having to take an important position: rush to the aid of the Iranian allyuntil now militarily very close to the Russians, or look at home and remain focused on the Ukrainian front.
In case of intervention, it is useless to underline it, Vladimir Putin would risk weakening and expose the possibility of a possible return of the Ukrainians. A Russian non-intervention would instead put Iran in very serious difficulties, which would literally find itself at the mercy of the Israeli-American front. So here it is the Iranian outburst of pride would prove to be a sensational own goal for the bellicose regime of the ayatollahs.
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