By 2030 the shortfall between demand and availability of water in the world will be 40%
The identification of food resources for 9 billion people will result in agricultural use of 60% of water resources
By 2025 1.8 billion people will live in areas of total drought
These data had been provided by the United Nations about five years ago and also highlighted some deeper water crisis arresses including that of China, thanks to a pollution of the slopes and a forced displacement of water resources from the monsics of the South to those of the north megalopolis that would have deprived of water making a mass migration from 300 to 400 million inhabitants inevitable, moreover generating a deep crisis of the strategic area from the strategic area. food, rice fields whose water level is constantly decreasing.
Forecast ten, twenty years later. But for some countries the water crisis is already a reality, and the water factor could become the interpretative driver of situations and geopolitical choices even extreme. Yes. Because we are talking about Iran
According to a public report in these days and relaunched by Africanews, while a heat wave pushes temperatures to 50 ° C, forcing the government to decree the closure of the government offices in 16 provinces, including Tehran, in order to guarantee electrical supplies, water reserves literally beaten due to infrastructure in degradation and basins, first of all that of Tehran, a few months.
Drought very close to the point of no return
The growth of the population (from 28 million in 1969 to 92 million today), excessive agricultural exploitation and bad urban planning add up to the consequences of deforestation, of the increasingly frequent sandstorms and pollution, the result of uncontrolled development as well as the absence of investment on the water network.
In recent weeks, several cities have undergone 48 -hour water interruptions. Electric networks, already fragile, give under the question. For residents who face temperatures of 40–50 ° C without reliable electricity or water, the situation is becoming unsustainable.
With the increasingly limited resources, the authorities urge savings – but the time holds. As the president of Iran, Masoud Pezeshkian, publicly admitted: “If we don’t act, he will no longer remain water”.
And with over 60 conflicts in the world underway precisely for the control of water resources, geo-political experts seem to confirm their level of carelessness, continuing to look at their finger and to lose sight of the mountain.
The nile disputed between Egypt and Ethiopia
A second alarming news comes from Egypt where the Egyptian president Abdel Fattoh El-Sisi had talks to Cairo with his Ugandan counterpart Yoweri Museveni, on the theme of the Nilo river. Sisi promised to take all the necessary measures to protect the water security of his country and nobody has escaped the evident reference to the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (Gerd), the great Ethiopian dam. Which could drastically reduce the water flow of the Nile. Ethiopia has accused Egypt and Sudan of wanting to limit its development ambitions.
Last year, a new agreement on the distribution of the waters of the Nile – the Cooperatives Framework Agreement (CFA) – Supported by seven countries it entered into force, arousing protests by Cairo and Khartoum. Today several countries located in Monte have been supporting for some time that the states on the valley, Egypt and Sudan have received disproportionate rights on the Nile river due to agreements dating back to the colonial era. And the situation risks becoming explosive by adding to the crises of Sudan and that of Tigray in Ethiopia ..
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