Be careful, because here the “republican front” is cracking. Even within the government majority itself. The ministers actually met with the prime minister Gabriel Attal and the president Emmanuel Macron to outline the centrist strategy in view of the July 7 run-off. The choice is not simple: the liberals must decide whether to channel their votes to the right, favoring Jordan Bardella And Marine Le Pen; or whether to join the Popular Front of Raphaël Glucksmann and Jean-Luc Melenchon. Yesterday Macron called for a “republican bloc” to contain the Le Penists and today he repeated that “it is the extreme right that is preparing to reach the highest positions”. And Attal also invited his supporters to ensure that “not a single vote” ends up with Le Pen. But apparently the centrists’ position is not so solid.
Some ministers in fact spoke of a “tense” meeting the day after the first round of the early legislative elections, an election in which the Macronians saw the number of deputies they will be able to obtain more than halved. Macron had dissolved the Assembly after the European elections seeking political “clarity”, but it seems to have only produced a lot of confusion with the extremes – right and left – competing for the leadership of the country. The president called on his ministers “not to fight the wrong battle”, but second Le Parisien several prominent members of the majority, including Aurore Bergé, Bruno Le Maire, but also Catherine Vautrin and Olivia Grégoire, would have pushed to ask centrist voters not to vote for either National Rally nor the New Popular Front.
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What does it mean? It means that the “republican bloc”, effectively favoring Lepenist candidates in many constituencies. Chaos reigns supreme and the “vagueness” of the formulas used by Attal and Macron confirms that the decision is far from being made. In fact, a “triangular record” is expected on July 7th, a condition that occurs when in the constituencies no candidate reaches an absolute majority in the first round and three (or even four) candidates go to the ballot (all those who have exceeded the threshold by 12.5%). The winner is the one who gets one more vote than the others, which is why pacts and withdrawals are of fundamental importance: often, adjacent political forces withdraw their candidates to favor those of the opponents “less worse”. Especially when it comes to stopping the advance of the right. The Popular Front has already announced the withdrawal of its members who are in third place (even if no one has confirmed it yet). While the Gaullists (absolutely new) will leave freedom of choice and vote.
To date only 76 deputies have been elected in the first round, including Marine Le Pen: 39 went to the RN, 32 to the NfP and only 2 to the presidential coalition ofEnsemble for the Republic. All the others will go to the ballot, 300 of which will be with the “triangular” ones. In 100 of these, in third place are the candidates of Ensemblewho will have to decide what to do. From tonight until July 7th the maneuvers will begin to understand who will withdraw and who will not: if macronians and the left will find agreements in the constituencies, it will be difficult for the RN to obtain an absolute majority. Otherwise, however, Bardella can dream of “cohabitation”. To date, only 41 Macronians have confirmed the withdrawal of their candidacy, while many others do not intend to give up, including Minister Dominique Faure. Le Parisien he counted at least twenty of them, the others are very hesitant.
Meanwhile, the Israeli Diaspora Minister, Friends Chikliermade it known that if Marine Le Pen became president of the France would be “excellent for Israel” given its “firm stance” against Hamas, the International Criminal Court and anti-Semitism. Unlike Mélenchon’s left. On the other hand, there is no alarmism from the markets: according to Goldman Sachs, “the fallout from the French elections on the EU stock markets has so far been limited”.
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The article “Tense meeting with Macron”. Centrists’ doubts: is the anti-Le Pen front collapsing? comes from Nicola Porro.