You cannot still call apprehension but the scientists of NASA and ASA (European Space Agency) have placed up when the possibilities that theAsteroid YR4in December 2032, can hit the Earth. If at first, a few months ago, the percentages were between 1 and 1.5%, now we speak of 2.3%. It may seem, and it is, an irrosory figure but this tendency must still be underlined.
Who risks more
We all reassure: not only are there any seven years, but in many cases how these happened in the past the probability have fallen more and more until they disappeared as we approached the date “X”. Although it is true that this asteroid of diameter between 40 and 100 meters is located first among the threats of our planet, these scientists’ calculations need new evidence and new any risks being revised in the coming months and years. Wanting, however, to continue to perpetrate the current hypotheses, the researchers have estimated above all in Three macro areas Which could be subject to impact: South America (especially the northern part), a portion of central Africa and southern Asia with India that would risk more among Asian countries.
La Scala Torino
We must not imagine that the celestial body has already started its “descent” towards the earth, far from: in its orbit it is in the removal phase and goes in the direction of Mars and subsequently of Jupiter; Only in 2028 will he return near our planet when another four years will miss the potential impact that is measured at this moment with the Number 3 from the Turin scale along a range between one and ten. Just the third point officially says that it is a “A close icontro, worthy of attention by astronomers. Calculations that give up to 1% or more of probability of collision with the ability to cause destruction to local damage. Most likely, new and more precise observations are susceptible to bringing the danger to level 0. The attention by the public and by the authorities regarding meetings of the genre is deserved if expected in a time less than about ten years “.
Even when he pays off in three years he will be at such a safety distance
It is not possible to touch the earth in the least but will give scientists new possibilities to better study its route and establish with greater certainties (if it has not already happened before) the chances of impact in 2032.