There electoral law can make a difference? The answer is yes, without a doubt. What happened in the legislative elections in France is the perfect example. In recent days we have witnessed great enthusiasm for the results of the far left and the axis led by Emmanuel Macron, defined as the strategist par excellencewhile for the right of Marine Le Pen a rain of criticism. Correct analysis? If we go into the details of the numbers it is absolutely inexplicable, with all due respect to his companions – including Italian ones – who are still dancing to the notes of the Marseillaise.
The National Rally Of Marine Le Pen is the first party in terms of number of votes, yet the others are celebrating. In the second round it obtained 8,744,537 votes, much more than Ensemble (6,314,425) and Nouveau Front populaire (7,005,586 votes). Yet these three parties obtained 88, 148 and 146 seats respectively. And yet, other centre-right parties such as Les Republicains collected 1,474,648 votes (38 seats), Divers droite 980,810 votes (25 seats), Les amis de Ciotti 1,364,964 votes (16 seats). The others all come behind: Divers gauche 401,062 votes (12 seats), Regionaliste 288,201 votes (9 seats), Horizons 258,139 votes (6 seats), Divers centre 177,167 votes (6 seats), UDI 119,672 votes (3 seats), Socialistes hors NFP 26,343 votes (2 seats), Divers ecologistes 37,808 votes (1 seat), Divers 38,025 votes (1 seat). In short, the data are clear, limpid, sharp.
The same goes for the first round, when Le Pen’s party secured the vote of 9,379,092 French people, many more than the red, extremist or centrist parties. And why, despite this, are those who did not obtain the best result rejoicing? Macron’s strategy, the pile-up and the anti-right campaign. In the first round, only 76 constituencies were assigned and the runoff was a spectacle of withdrawals, with agreements and little agreements between the center and the left to knock out the candidates of the RN. The numbers do not tell lies, out of 250 seats with candidates from the Nouveau Front Populaire, Ensemble and the Rassemblement National in 99 cases the candidate of the NFP withdrew while in 79 cases the candidate of Ensemble did so. And here is the mystery revealed: the RN obtained 37.1 percent of the votes, the NFP 25.8 percent and Ensemble 24.5 percent. But in terms of seats, the percentages saw the left-wing parties prevail.
Overall, as far as the main parties in the field are concerned, the NFP has collected 180 seats, Ensemble 159 seats, RN and allies 142 seats, Republicains 39 seats. It is curious to observe the party most voted by the French as the third force in Parliament, but the electoral law is that. Perhaps the RN could have chosen its candidates better in the individual constituencies. But just to point out that if Paris had adopted the British electoral law, the “First past the post”, Le Pen would have won by a landslide and today we would find ourselves extolling her extraordinary victory just like what was done with Starmer. Instead, now the country will not be able to form a new government, except as a minority. And Mélenchon has already raised his voice, claiming the seat of prime minister. But the affirmation of his party has begun to intimidate French Jews, because the real anti-semitism It’s the one found on the far left.
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