Kamala Harris, anxiety at the New York Times: “The latest poll is bad”

Stop everyone, something is moving. Actually: maybe it’s going to get bad for Kamala Harris called “Obamala”. The American elections (which we will follow closely on this website) are just over a week away and …

Kamala Harris, anxiety at the New York Times: "The latest poll is bad"

Stop everyone, something is moving. Actually: maybe it’s going to get bad for Kamala Harris called “Obamala”. The American elections (which we will follow closely on this website) are just over a week away and now the progressives really fear that he might return to the White House Donald Trump.

We reported it a few days ago: the tycoon was rising in the polls both at a national level (which, as is known, count for little) and in the key states which will then determine the victory of one or the other candidate. The last and only time The Donald became president he managed to gain power despite winning fewer absolute votes than his challenger Hillary Clinton. But Obamala’s supporters know that the smaller the gap that divides the two in the popular vote, the less chance Kamala has of catching up in the states that matter.

The latest survey by New York Times And Siena College ten days before the vote he says that the two contenders are in perfect parity. Harris receives 48% of the vote, compared to Trump’s 48%. Never before had the electorate been so divided, and this “worries” the American newspaper. “In the last week or so, several high-quality polls have shown a tied race or even have Trump ahead,” it reads. The Wall Street Journal gives him a three-point lead, while the CNBC of two. In any case the result, the reporters of the NYTis not encouraging for the current vice president given that in the last few elections they often had an advantage in the popular vote even when they lost the Electoral College and thus the presidency. Not to mention that the latest projection from the same polling house had Kamala ahead by 3 percentage points. Translated: The Donald can do it despite “few people would have considered at the beginning of the cycle” the possibility of him getting more votes nationally.

At this point the NYT he asked: Can Obama’s champion manage to win despite tying, or even losing, the popular vote? In the meantime, we need to understand why there is so little love from Americans towards Biden’s heir. Meanwhile, only 28% of voters believe that the country is on the right path and since Kamala is the current vice-president, voters can only place part of the blame on her too. The approval rate for Biden’s work, moreover, is below 40% and here too there is trouble: no party, the NYT points out, has ever conquered the White House or won the popular vote when this figure was so low. On the economy, then, polls say that Americans think Trump is doing better. “And more generally, more voters say they trust him on every issue they care about most.”

However, polls are one thing, voting is another. Biden, for example, won the national vote by 4.5 points over Trump four years ago, but only won the presidency by a few tenths of a percent in Wisconsin. As he clearly explained to us here Mauro Della Porta Raffothere are only a few states that can really make a difference. According to the NYT, it is probable that, by tying or winning the popular vote, Trump will obtain the nomination to the White House, even if there are “many signs” that in the Electoral College (the electors who then vote for the President) his advantage “is fading.” Of course, it cannot be ruled out that Harris will succeed, but things are not looking good at all, on the contrary: “It might be a bit much – reasons the NYT – to ask Mrs Harris to win in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan if she is losing so much land elsewhere in the nation.”

TheVermilion.com is also on Whatsapp. Simply click here to subscribe to the channel and always be updated (free).