Ukraine, the hypothesis of the “4 levels”: what it is

Peace negotiations continue relentlessly, but for a few hours there has been an important novelty for the future ofUkraine. Thursday, at the internship summit convened in Paris by the French president Emmanuel Macron, a sensational …

Ukraine, the hypothesis of the "4 levels": what it is

Peace negotiations continue relentlessly, but for a few hours there has been an important novelty for the future ofUkraine. Thursday, at the internship summit convened in Paris by the French president Emmanuel Macron, a sensational turning point could take place: One plan on four levels to guarantee Kiev. In the demilitarized area within the country of Zelensky to protect cities, ports and infrastructures, there would be the blue helmets of non -European countries members of the UN. The second line would be occupied by Ukrainian forces. The third ring would be composed of the contingents of the coalition of the willing launched by British premier Keir Starmer. The contingent could be deployed inside Ukraine but also outside. Finally, the American backstop as the last guarantee for both Ukrainians and Europeans.

The “willing” are at work on this hypothesis which sees the presence of Washington as an essential condition. According to what emerged, the USA They would be willing to do their part, but first serves the signing of the ceiling on minerals with Zelensky. The idea of ​​activating the glass palace is the only one to which Russia has not abruptly closed its doors. Not insignificant detail, considering that Moscow is permanent member of the Security Council of theUN. Full neutrality, the CE condition can make a difference. Even if Zelensky does not seem convinced: “With all due respect, the UN will not protect us from Putin’s employment or desire to return. We do not see the UN as an alternative to a contingent or security guarantees”. Based on what has been known yesterday, the consistency of the contingent on the field would be around 20 thousand soldiers. Fundamental step is the air defense dossier.

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The negotiations They go on and the solutions are not lacking, even if the road is winding. Macron, in fact, underlined that the goal is to “protect peace”, a commitment that will translate into the definition of a defense system based on European armed forces, with the intention of dissuading further aggressive actions by Russia. No less important is the armament strategy of Ukraine, which provides for a military strengthening aimed at making the country more difficult to invade, but which inevitably exacerbates tensions with Moscow.

In this context of complex geopolitical calculations, Trump It represents a key figure, whose position could prove to be decisive in determining whether the final agreement will be favorable to a lasting stabilization, or if it risks feeding further the conflict. Attention is therefore all on the future of the negotiations, which will have to reconcile the needs of safety, the economic ambitions and the real diplomatic intentions of the main powers involved.

Trump seems determined to continue his foreign policy focused on the pragmatist approach and the protection of American interests. From Washington, the Tycoon has announced with certainty that the “Main guidelines” for a peace agreement In Ukraine they were traced. After the talks with Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky, Trump has announced that a “total respite” could be achieved “very early”. A declaration that reflects not only the activism of the US administration, but also the push to resolve a conflict that has undermined European stability and international relations.

Putin “did not rejected the cessate-the-calendar” Ribadit Trump talking to journalists in the White House. The Head of the White House said he had “good conversations” about peace, but did not specify who these conversations had taken place with. “We are going forward on Russia and Ukraine. We had a couple of good conversations today, and perhaps we can stop that march of death as soon as possible,” said Trump. When asked if he had given the Russian president a deadline, Trump replied no: “There is no deadline, but I think we will have one. I think you know that they are going rather heavy at this moment, as you have probably seen, both, but I think we will do it quite soon”.

The discussions take place in a context in which the position of Zelensky It seems to stay firm. As previously highlighted, the Ukrainian president did not enthusiastically welcome the UN hypothesis as the guarantor of peace, expressing doubts about the ability of the international organization to protect Ukrainian from a possible return of Russia. A position that shows how much the dynamics of war are still far from a shared resolution.

What emerges clearly is an internationally evolving international framework, where not only western diplomacies, but also international actors such as the UN, are called to an active role. The question that hovers on all the negotiation tables is only one: will Ukraine be able to obtain the security guarantees it needs, without causing new frictions among the nuclear powers involved? The answer, for now, remains an unknown.

Franco Lodige, March 22, 2025

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The Ukrainian article, the hypothesis of the “4 levels”: what it is comes from Nicolaportro.it.