Deep Europe works in the secret plan Against the duties of Trump. With the passing of the weeks, the critical sense towards the increasingly soft and undecided line of Europe towards the United States grows in the exclusive circles of London, Paris and Berlin. TO Ursula von der leyen And European leaders are contested with a defined attitude of “diplomatic tourism” in the European capitals with the president Zelensky brought around like a relic in procession.
In relations with the United States, even from allies, a more firm approach should be adoptedas Craxi did to Sigonella or as Cossiga claimed: “Sometimes, even with Washington, you have to make you feel that you have the gun in your font, even if you don’t use it”. One of the most active groups in outlining a hard response to Trump is the so-called Évian group, named after the French locality Évian-Les-Bains, where corporate leaders and government representatives meet in the promotion of an open, inclusive, fair and sustainable market economy, within a multilateral framework based on certain rules. Founded in 1995 during an international meeting of managers of commercial policies and political thinkers, the group subsequently close close links with the IMD (International Institute for management Development) – promoted by Nestlè, the largest food group in the world – adopting the name The Évian Group at IMD. Great attention to the group is now paid by the new German chancellor Friedrich Merz.
A leader “genetically Amiorikano” since his entire political career and his business have always been in the name of his uncle Sam, given that he has also been the BlackRock representative for Germany. His impatience towards Angela Merkel This aspect also reflected: Merkel, East woman, spoke Russian and dialogue with Putin; Merz, on the other hand, has always looked at the Atlantic. As the first Mossa, he recovered the relationship with England, who returned to the international scene and a guiding country in Europe, and it is certain that the first to suffer from the new German course will be the giants of American technology. Merz does not want to leave the European data – let alone those of state administrations – In the hands of the Big Tech American Starting with Microsoft and Google. His leadership will lead to a strong impulse towards national or European technological sovereignty solutions. For Europe, according to these “Santa Sanctum” as Evian’s group but not only, the response to Trump’s duties would be simple: taxing technological and financial services even more That the US sell to the Old Continent and demobilize those American public debt securities in the belly to their banks. Trumpian duties are all concentrated on material goods, so the commercial balance of the United States is in deficit, precisely to avoid counter-rifle on the services, of which the US economy lives.
It is therefore on the latter that you can hit the tycoon, certainly not on whiskey or jeans. Likewise, the Achilles heel of the United States is the great public debt. For Trump it would be a problem if Europe stopped buying American treasure titles. With these two smoking pistols on the table, The EU can treat on par with the USA. And also threaten a rapprochement to China, also full of American debt securities. Trump wants to impose duties to other countries, even allies, to reduce, of an amount equal to what he is with the duties, direct and indirect taxes on natural natural persons and businesses. To translate it into Italian, no more Irpef, IRES and VAT but only duties to finance the country. Will this be the scheme of the future that expands out of necessity to the rest of the world from today? A change of paradigm, of language, of all the conventions on which global economies have lined up to date. And above all a doubt … but is a new world balance based on duties, after about 80 years of development and prosperity based on exactly opposite balance?
At the moment, what impacts most on the global economy, in the negative, is The uncertainty brought by Trump. Its unpredictability destabilizes markets, investors, businesses and families who do not know what they will meet suspend any investment or expenditure decision. The precariousness of expectations also paralyzes the Democrats, completely absent to date by the debate, Biden, Obama and Clinton in the first place. Only the Supreme Court beats a blow. It is true that it is still too early to judge, the effects of the new American policy will be seen in the long term. For this reason, in his first speech on the state of the Union at the congress last Tuesday, Trump asked the Americans to be patient. The US president focuses on peace in Ukraine and perhaps in the Middle East: if he manages to end the wars, the inflation would collapse and could compensate for other forms of “discount” on the future. Above all, if Trump will be the great peacemaker will have a white paper on everything else. There is only one element that can play against him: the impossibility of applying again.
For Ursula, Giorgia, Emmanuel and the tour company could be the right path to put a brake on Donald and make a Europe paralyzed by vetoes and regulations survive.
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