Biden-Trump, be careful to trust the polls

Ok, all the sites, including the most authoritative, following the campaign and trying to understand the mood of the voters they churn out surveys over and over again the most reliable of which, given the …

Written by: Jack Williams

Published on: March 15, 2024

Ok, all the sites, including the most authoritative, following the campaign and trying to understand the mood of the voters they churn out surveys over and over again the most reliable of which, given the US electoral system, report on individual states. Do we really need to take this into account and if so to what extent?

A historical reference in this regard. In 1980, two hundred and thirty-seven days before the vote – almost as many as today – the outgoing President Jimmy Carter preceded the challenger Ronald Reagan by fourteen percentage points.

Well, on Election Day the Republican prevailed by ten. A truly notable error (do we mean a difference?): twenty-four points!

Mauro della Porta Raffo
Honorary President of the Italy USA Foundation

Jack Williams

Jack Williams established himself as the editor-in-chief of The Vermilion with rigorous journalistic traits and an incessant quest for truth. His career began as an investigative reporter, where he quickly gained a reputation for his in-depth research and insightful articles. Williams takes his role at The Vermilion very seriously. Since he became editor-in-chief, he has set an editorial line based on impartiality, factual accuracy, and context relevance; this has established The Vermilion as a reference for political, economic, and global news. Under his leadership, the media continues its mission of reporting news with accuracy and equanimity, giving a voice to those who are often overlooked by large-scale media. Jack dedicates himself to fulfilling this mandate with passion, rigour, and unwavering determination.